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Talk About BS: JPMorgan Economists Discard Prior Recession Prediction, Foresee US Economic Resilience

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JPMorgan Economists Discard Prior Recession Prediction, Foresee US Economic Resilience

JPMorgan’s economists have jettisoned previous predictions of an impending U.S. recession. Their chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, is confident that the American economy will maintain a modest but steady growth trajectory throughout the remainder of the current year and well into 2024.

JPMorgan Foresees U.S. Economic Growth Amid ‘Ridiculous’ Fitch Downgrade and Recession Fears

Echoing Bank of America’s revision of its economic outlook, JPMorgan’s team of economists have likewise set aside their earlier recession projections. The top-ranking bank in the nation initially forecasted a downturn for 2023. However, their principal U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, now holds a more optimistic view that the U.S. can successfully dodge a full-scale recession.

“While a recession is no longer our modal scenario, risk of a downturn is still very elevated,” Feroli wrote on Friday. “One way this risk could materialize is if the Fed is not done hiking rates. Another way in which recession risks could materialize is if the normal lagged effects of the tightening already delivered kick in.”

Feroli, alongside his cohort of economists at JPMorgan, now foresees an economic resurgence in 2023, followed by a period of “modest, sub-par growth” in the subsequent year. This projection defies the widespread dissenting opinion that a recession, or even a depression, within the U.S., is inevitable. Danielle DiMartino Booth, the CEO and chief strategist at QI Research, argues that the repercussions of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increments and quantitative tightening have yet to fully manifest in the U.S. banking industry.

Moreover, JPMorgan’s perspective comes on the heels of Fitch Ratings’ decision to lower the credit rating of the United States. Unfazed by Fitch’s downgrade, JPMorgan’s chief, Jamie Dimon, dismissed the move as “ridiculous” in an interview. Speaking to CNBC, Dimon downplayed the significance of the downgrade, saying “it doesn’t really matter that much,” and emphasized that the United States remains “the most prosperous nation on the planet, [and] the most secure nation on the planet.”

Dimon and his team at JPMorgan perceive a budding growth in the U.S. economy, prompting their economists to doubt their previous forecasts. “Given this growth, we doubt the economy will quickly lose enough momentum to slip into a mild contraction as early as next quarter, as we had previously projected,” Feroli concluded in his missive to investors last Friday.

Gallup Poll: Confidence in U.S. Banks Stood at 60 Percent in 1979. Today, It Stands at 26 Percent

By StevieRay Hansen | July 12, 2023

The polling organization, Gallup, conducted a survey between June 1-22 to update its annual poll that measures the confidence that Americans have in key U.S. institutions. Banks, as might be expected, continued their downward trend, registering an abysmal 26 percent…

Us Inflation Cools, Spending Stagnates as Economy Loses Steam

By StevieRay Hansen | July 10, 2023

The Federal Reserve’s preferred measures of U.S. inflation cooled in May and consumer spending stagnated, suggesting the economy’s main engine is starting to lose some momentum. The personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.1% in May, Commerce Department figures showed Friday. From a year…

What Is Happening In the U.S. Today

By StevieRay Hansen | July 8, 2023

What Is Happening In the U.S. Today Posted by Phoenix Capital Research By Graham Summers, MBA As I’ve noted in our last two articles, the $USD has begun a significant decline against most major currencies (the Euro, the Pound and…

US Representative Warren Davidson: ‘CBDC Corrupts Money Into a Tool for Coercion’

By StevieRay Hansen | July 8, 2023

Warren Davidson, U.S. representative and part of the House Committee on Financial Services, has disregarded issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) in the country. Davidson explained that CBDCs corrupt money into a “tool for coercion” and detailed that there…

Court Orders Kraken to Turn Over History Transaction and Account Information to IRS,the IRS First Filed a Court Petition in February

By StevieRay Hansen | July 6, 2023

By Nikhilesh De (CoinDesk archives) A federal court ordered crypto exchange Kraken to turn over account and transaction information to the IRS, which said it needed that information to see if any of the exchange’s users had underreported their taxes….

Bitcoin ETF Race Begins: Has Institutional Trust Returned To Crypto?

By StevieRay Hansen | July 6, 2023

by Tyler Durden Wednesday, Jul 05, 2023 – 06:20 AM Authored by Prashant Jha via CoinTelegraph.com, Seven institutional firms have filed for a spot Bitcoin ETF in the U.S., including the world’s largest asset manager BlackRock, driving optimism and higher…

These Charts Show Why the Fed Is Terrified to Stop Raising Interest Rates and Why NASDAQ Is Ripping Higher

By StevieRay Hansen | July 5, 2023

By Pam Martens and Russ Martens: July 5, 2023 ~ The top chart above shows one of the most erratic eras in Federal Reserve policy-making history. In the 70s and early 80s, the Fed would slam on the brakes to bring…

Apple Hits $3 Trillion Market Cap After Spending More than Half a Trillion Dollars on Stock Buybacks Since 2013

By StevieRay Hansen | July 4, 2023

By Pam Martens and Russ Martens: July 3, 2023 ~ According to S&P Dow Jones Indices, component companies of the Standard & Poor’s 500 spent $922.7 billion in 2022 buying back their own stock. That was $41 billion more than the…

Gold Is the Most Trusted Currency in the World and Has Been for Over 2,500 Years. However, With the Advent of Bitcoin, There Is Now a New Alternative to Dollars

By StevieRay Hansen | July 1, 2023

by Tyler Durden Friday, Jun 30, 2023 – 04:40 PM Authored by Nick Giambruno via InternationalMan.com, International Man: For over 2,500 years, gold has been mankind’s most enduring money. However, with the emergence of Bitcoin there is a new hard money…

CBDCs Gain Momentum: 130 Countries Now On The Runway

By StevieRay Hansen | June 30, 2023

As digital currencies such as CBDCs begin to take a more pivotal role in the global economy, recent studies indicate an increase in their adoption rate among the world’s economies. Currently, 130 countries, which make up 98% of the global…

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In his riveting memoir, "A Long Journey Home", StevieRay Hansen will lead you through his incredible journey from homeless kid to multimillionaire oilman willing to give a helping hand to other throwaway kids. Available on Amazon.