Volatility in Wheat Futures Causes Worries Over the Black Sea Crisis and the Hormuz Chokepoint Project

Featured Story

As exports from one of the world’s most important breadbaskets are threatened by continuous attacks on Black Sea grain facilities and bulk carriers by Russia and Ukraine, Chicago wheat futures are bracing for a breakout, in one direction or another.

The Chicago wheat market, which is usually very lively, has been very volatile recently.

With a gain of 2.7%, hard red winter wheat reached $7.505/bushel.

Assuming prices remain over $7 per bushel, soft red winter wheat futures are set for a considerably bigger breakthrough.

On Monday, Bloomberg reported that due to continuing maritime security concerns in the vital transportation corridor, Turkey briefly halted transits of its cargo ships throughout the Black Sea over the weekend. Russian aggression, according to Ukraine’s warning, might cut its agricultural exports in half during the 2026–27 season.

According to Joe Davis, director of commodities at brokerage Futures International, US-grown hard red winter varieties have been given a significant boost due to concerns about potential supply disruptions. This is because these grains are perceived as direct competitors to higher-protein milling wheat from the Black Sea region and Europe.

“While the disruptions don’t necessarily translate into immediate additional US export business,” Davis continued, “they do tighten the global exportable supply outlook and balance sheets, forcing importers to diversify origins and keeping support under higher-quality wheat values.”

The United Nations’ index of global food prices reached a three-year high in July, which may ignite upward momentum due to rising wheat prices.

Food prices are likely to continue to fall due to upcoming disruptions in the Black Sea and the Strait of Hormuz, as well as unfavorable weather conditions in important US and other growing regions due to the increasing threats of El Niño.

The five factors that are pushing up food prices were detailed in a note last week by analysts at UBS (see the research here). They inquired about the future of affordable food, which is a crucial matter.

While the fire seems insignificant, it’s part of a much larger issue of a spate of “accidental fires,” one by one, taking out America’s food supply chain over the past year (source of the list via The Gateway Pundit):

  1. 1/11/21 A fire that destroyed 75,000-square-foot processing plant in Fayetteville
  2. 4/30/21 A fire ignited inside the Smithfield Foods pork processing plant in Monmouth, IL
  3. 7/25/21 Three-alarm fire at Kellogg plant in Memphis, 170 emergency personnel responded to the call
  4. 7/30/21 Firefighters on Friday battled a large fire at Tyson’s River Valley Ingredients plant in Hanceville, Alabama
  5. 8/23/21 Fire crews were called to the Patak Meat Production company on Ewing Road in Austell
  6. 9/13/21 A fire at the JBS beef plant in Grand Island, Neb., on Sunday night forced a halt to slaughter and fabrication lines
  7.  10/13/21 A five-alarm fire ripped through the Darigold butter production plant in Caldwell, ID
  8. 11/15/21 A woman is in custody following a fire at the Garrard County Food Pantry
  9. 11/29/21 A fire broke out around 5:30 p.m. at the Maid-Rite Steak Company meat processing plant
  10. 12/13/21 West Side food processing plant in San Antonio left with smoke damage after a fire
  11. 1/7/22 Damage to a poultry processing plant on Hamilton’s Mountain following an overnight fire
  12. 1/13/22 Firefighters worked for 12 hours to put a fire out at the Cargill-Nutrena plant in Lecompte, LA
  13. 1/31/22 a fertilizer plant with 600 tons of ammonium nitrate inside caught on fire on Cherry Street in Winston-Salem
  14. 2/3/22 A massive fire swept through Wisconsin River Meats in Mauston
  15. 2/3/22 At least 130 cows were killed in a fire at Percy Farm in Stowe
  16. 2/15/22 Bonanza Meat Company goes up in flames in El Paso, Texas
  17. 2/15/22 Nearly a week after the fire destroyed most of the Shearer’s Foods plant in Hermiston
  18. 2/16/22 A fire had broken at US largest soybean processing and biodiesel plant in Claypool, Indiana
  19. 2/18/22 An early morning fire tore through the milk parlor at Bess View Farm
  20. 2/19/22 Three people were injured, and one was hospitalized, after an ammonia leak at Lincoln Premium Poultry in Fremont
  21. 2/22/22 The Shearer’s Foods plant in Hermiston caught fire after a propane boiler exploded
  22. 2/28/22 A smoldering pile of sulfur quickly became a raging chemical fire at Nutrien Ag Solutions
  23. 2/28/22 A man was hurt after a fire broke out at the Shadow Brook Farm and Dutch Girl Creamery
  24. 3/4/22 294,800 chickens destroyed at farm in Stoddard, Missouri
  25. 3/4/22 644,000 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Cecil, Maryland
  26. 3/8/22 243,900 chickens destroyed at egg farm in New Castle, Delaware
  27. 3/10/22 663,400 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Cecil, MD
  28. 3/10/22 915,900 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Taylor, IA
  29. 3/14/22 The blaze at 244 Meadow Drive was discovered shortly after 5 p.m. by farm owner Wayne Hoover
  30. 3/14/22 2,750,700 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Jefferson, Wisconsin
  31. 3/16/22 A fire at a Walmart warehouse distribution center has cast a large plume of smoke visible throughout Indianapolis.
  32. 3/16/22 Nestle Food Plant extensively damaged in fire and new production destroyed Jonesboro, Arkansas
  33. 3/17/22 5,347,500 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Buena Vista, Iowa
  34. 3/17/22 147,600 chickens destroyed at farm in Kent, Delaware
  35. 3/18/22 315,400 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Cecil, Maryland
  36. 3/22/22 172,000 Turkeys destroyed on farms in South Dakota
  37. 3/22/22 570,000 chickens destroyed at farm in Butler, Nebraska
  38. 3/24/22 Fire fighters from numerous towns are battling a major fire at the McCrum potato processing facility in Belfast.
  39. 3/24/22 418,500 chickens destroyed at farm in Butler, Nebraska
  40. 3/25/22 250,300 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Franklin, Iowa
  41. 3/26/22 311,000 Turkeys destroyed in Minnesota
  42. 3/27/22 126,300 Turkeys destroyed in South Dakota
  43. 3/28/22 1,460,000 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Guthrie, Iowa
  44. 3/29/22 A massive fire burned 40,000 pounds of food meant to feed people in a food desert near Maricopa
  45. 3/31/22 A structure fire caused significant damage to a large portion of key fresh onion packing facilities in south Texas
  46. 3/31/22 76,400 Turkeys destroyed in Osceola, Iowa
  47. 3/31/22 5,011,700 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Osceola, Iowa
  48. 4/6/22 281,600 chickens destroyed at farm in Wayne, North Carolina
  49. 4/9/22 76,400 Turkeys destroyed in Minnesota
  50. 4/9/22 208,900 Turkeys destroyed in Minnesota
  51. 4/12/22 89,700 chickens destroyed at farm in Wayne, North Carolina
  52. 4/12/22 1,746,900 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Dixon, Nebraska
  53. 4/12/22 259,000 chickens destroyed at farm in Minnesota
  54. 4/13/22 fire destroys East Conway Beef & Pork Meat Market in Conway, New Hampshire
  55. 4/13/22 Plane crashes into Gem State Processing, Idaho potato and food processing plant
  56. 4/13/22 77,000 Turkeys destroyed in Minnesota
  57. 4/14/22 Taylor Farms Food Processing plant burns down Salinas, California.
  58. 4/14/22 99,600 Turkeys destroyed in Minnesota
  59. 4/15/22 1,380,500 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Lancaster, Minnesota
  60. 4/19/22 Azure Standard nation’s premier independent distributor of organic and healthy food, was destroyed by fire in Dufur, Oregon
  61. 4/19/22 339,000 Turkeys destroyed in Minnesota
  62. 4/19/22 58,000 chickens destroyed at farm in Montrose, Color
  63. 4/20/22 2,000,000 chickens destroyed at egg farm in Minnesota
  64. 4/21/22 A small plane crashed in the lot of a General Mills plant in Georgia
  65. 4/22/22 197,000 Turkeys destroyed in Minnesota
  66. 4/23/22 200,000 Turkeys destroyed in Minnesota
  67. 4/25/22 1,501,200 chickens destroyed at egg farm Cache, Utah
  68. 4/26/22 307,400 chickens destroyed at farm Lancaster Pennsylvania
  69. 4/27/22 2,118,000 chickens destroyed at farm Knox, Nebraska
  70. 4/28/22 Egg-laying facility in Iowa kills 5.3 million chickens, fires 200-plus workers
  71. 4/28/22 Allen Harim Foods processing plant killed nearly 2M chickens in Delaware
  72. 4/2822 110,700 Turkeys destroyed Barron Wisconsin
  73. 4/29/22 1,366,200 chickens destroyed at farm Weld Colorado
  74. 4/30/22 13,800 chickens destroyed at farm Sequoia Oklahoma
  75. 5/3/22 58,000 Turkeys destroyed Barron Wisconsin
  76. 5/3/22 118,900 Turkeys destroyed Beadle S Dakota
  77. 5/3/22 114,000 ducks destroyed at Duck farm Berks Pennsylvania
  78. 5/3/22 118,900 Turkeys destroyed Lyon Minnesota
  79. 5/7/22 20,100 Turkeys destroyed Barron Wisconsin
  80. 5/10/22 72,300 chickens destroyed at farm Lancaster Pennsylvania
  81. 5/10/22 61,000 ducks destroyed at Duck farm Berks Pennsylvania
  82. 5/10/22 35,100 Turkeys destroyed Muskegon, Michigan
  83. 5/13/22 10,500 Turkeys destroyed Barron Wisconsin
  84. 5/14/22 83,400 ducks destroyed at Duck farm Berks Pennsylvania
  85. 5/17/22 79,00 chickens destroyed at Duck farm Berks Pennsylvania
  86. 5/18/22 7,200 ducks destroyed at Duck farm Berks Pennsylvania
  87. 5/19/22 Train carrying limestone derailed Jensen Beach FL
  88. 5/21/22 57,000 Turkeys destroyed on farm in Dakota Minnesota
  89. 5/23/22 4,000 ducks destroyed at Duck farm Berks Pennsylvania
  90. 5/29/22 A Saturday night fire destroyed a poultry building at Forsman Farms
  91. 5/31/22 3,000,000 chickens destroyed by fire at Forsman facility in Stockholm Township, Minnesota
  92. 6/2/22 30,000 ducks destroyed at Duck farm Berks Pennsylvania
  93. 6/7/22 A fire occurred Tuesday evening at the JBS meat packing plant in Green Bay.
  94. 6/8/22 Firefighters from Tangipahoa Fire District 1 respond to a fire at the Purina Feed Mill in Arcola
  95. 6/9/22 Irrigation water was canceled in California (the #1 producer of food in the US) and storage water flushed directly out to the delta.
  96. 6/12/22 Largest Pork Company in the US Shuts Down California Plant Due to High Costs
  97. 6/13/22 Fire Breaks Out at a Food Processing Plant West of Waupaca County in Wisconsin

They Will Starve Humanity in Order to Achieve Their Objectives: Food Bank Demand Spikes as Inflation Wrecks Households, Manufactured Madness, Obama/ Soros/ Most of Our Elected Officials Are Evil and Sold Americans OUT!

 

Don't Miss

US Must Meet All Demands For The Hormuz Opening As Iran’s Military Command Reshuffles In Preparation For A “Hardline” Confrontation

By Stevie Ray

Iran Sours Pakistan’s Hopes for Diplomatic Relations Early in the day, Pakistan spread hopeful rumors that the warring parties were returning to “moving toward peace…

Devastating Wildfires Rage Throughout the Western United States and Canada, Forcing Tens of Thousands to Flee Their Homes

By Stevie Ray

Wildfires burning across the western United States and Canada continued to threaten communities Sunday, leaving thousands of residents displaced and others watching closely for possible…

The Race to Reopen Hormuz Is Getting More Intense As the Stress in the Global Supply Chain Continues to Be at Covid Levels.

By Stevie Ray

The latest Bloomberg data show that shipping transits through the Strait of Hormuz remained largely disrupted Monday morning, even as Iran and Oman reportedly moved…

As the unexpected oil drain surges to 6.1 million barrels—the most in two months—the US SPR falls below 300 million barrels functional limit. Trouble!!

By Stevie Ray

On Monday, oil prices climbed on global markets due to concerns that a resolution to the impasse between Iran and the United States may take…

“Lie To People Who Want To Be Lied To”

By Stevie Ray

A financial journalist once offered simple advice: “Lie to people who want to be lied to, and you’ll get rich…Tell the truth to those who…

Posted in

Stevie Ray

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *