Archive for August 2020
Day-Traders Send US Producer Prices Soaring In July
US Producer prices were expected to rise MoM following four declines in the last five months and they did, rising 0.6% MoM (double the expected 0.3% MoM rise). However, this was not enough to unwind the annual deflationary print (PPI -0.4% YoY) Source: Bloomberg This is the biggest MoM jump in headline PPI since Oct 2018.…
S&P Futures Hit All Time Highs On Stimulus, Vaccine Hopes; Gold, Silver Tumble
S&P 500 futures hit a record high as investors shrugged off continuing U.S.-China tensions and instead focused on news of an approved, if largely unclear, Russian vaccine, and more stimulus optimism as President Donald Trump said he’s considering a tax cut on capital gains. According to Reuters calculations at the current levels, the benchmark index…
Nasdaq Tumbles Into Red, Erases Vaccine Spike As ‘Memo Meltdown’ Continues
All major US equity indices spiked in the early hours overnight on the back of optimistic vaccine headlines from Russia. However, while Russell 2000 futures are holding gains up over 1%, Nasdaq has tumbled into the red as the last few days trend of momo/growth vs value rotation appears to be accelerating… As a reminder, the…
The Economy Is Mortally Wounded
A fully financialized, totally debt and speculation-dependent economy is terminal once leverage and debt stop expanding exponentially. We all know the movie scene in which the character is wounded but dismisses it as no big deal, and then lurches into the closing sequence where we discover the wound was not inconsequential, it was mortal, and the…
Morgan Stanley Sounds The Alarm On Record High Bond Duration, Is Starting To Buy Bond Volatility
You Have More Duration than You Think 2020 has seen a pandemic inflict enormous human and economic cost. In 2Q, the global economy contracted by the largest amount on record and, as autumn approaches, major questions around returning to school, work and other aspects of daily life remain. But for investors, 2020 has been something…
Another Bank Bailout Under Cover of a Virus
Bulls Charge To All-Time Highs As discussed previously in “Insanely Stupid,” we noted the market remained confined to its consolidation channel, but the bullish bias was to the upside. “While the market has not been able to push above the recent July highs, support is holding at the rising bullish trend line. With the short-term ‘buy signals’ back in…
Russia-China “DE dollarization” Reaches “Breakthrough Moment” As Countries Ditch Greenback For Bilateral Trade
Late last year, data released by the PBOC and the Russian Central Bank shone a light on a disturbing – at least, for the US – trend: As the Trump Administration ratcheted up sanctions pressure on Russia and China, both countries and their central banks have substantially “diversified” their foreign-currency reserves, dumping dollars and buying…