America’s Coming Double Dip

www.zerohedge.com Soaring financial markets are blithely indifferent to lingering vulnerabilities in the US economy. But the impact of consumers’ fear of COVID-19 on pandemic-sensitive services are unlikely to subside, undermining the case for the uninterrupted recovery that investors seem to expect. The double dip is not a dance. It is the time-honored tendency of the US economy to…

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S&P Jumps Above Record High After $9 Trillion Global Liquidity Tsunami

$9 trillion in additional global liquidity (from $79 to almost $88 trillion since the March lows)… Are we Drowning in liquidity? Pushed the S&P above its prior record closing high (3386.15 from 2/19/20) but could not hold it… Because it sure isn’t being driven by fun-durr-mentals… Source: Bloomberg The recent Momo/Value rotation is over… Source:…

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Who Is The Next Wirecard?

Now that the multi-year saga of German fintech megafraud Wirecard is finally over, the pain is only just starting for disgraced German regulator BaFin (with the EU launching an investigation into its borderline criminal “regulation” which punished short sellers while never once looking at the real fraud). Also let’s not forget about the company’s “auditor” EY (aka…

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Soaring Food & Energy Costs Spark Rebound In Producer Prices

Producer Prices rebounded MoM in May with headline Final Demand PPI rising 0.4% (against +0.1% exp) but it left PPI YoY still down 0.8%… Source: Bloomberg Some serious dispersion in the various sector’s price swings… This rebound was driven by a record surge in food prices… Source: Bloomberg Two-thirds of the May increase in the index…

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Wall Street Caught Short Again As “Money Printer Go BRRRRRR To 11”

With US stocks soaring to start the week on the combination of Powell’s 60 Minutes affirmation that the Fed’s money printer go BRRRRR to 11 (as Nomura’s Charlie McElligott poetically puts it) coupled with favorable news of a coronavirus vaccine trial by Moderna (which saw favorable results in a group of 8 “young and healthy” volunteers), the bulk of…

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A Shift In The Global Financial Order Is Upon Us

The collapse in bond yields, exacerbated by the crash in oil prices, marks an end to the era of trust in central banks… OPEC+: A 24-Hour View Coronavirus. That will be the first and last time this column mentions that word. Despite the weekend’s many developments in the epidemic, there is a new issue to drive…

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The Next Ten Years In Oil Markets

An eventful 2019 wraps up a decade of turmoil in oil markets, in which Brent Crude prices fluctuated from as high as US$125 a barrel in 2012 to as low as US$30 per barrel in January 2016.   Geopolitical turmoil, economic growth, soaring U.S. shale production, and OPEC’s various policies to try to set the trends in oil prices marked…

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Deplorables Versus The Ruling Class: A Global Struggle

Consider the age of monarchs.  Squabbling barons select a supreme ruler – a king or an emperor — to suppress the squabbling.  Peace and prosperity return to the land.  The king makes policy but he can’t do everything.  His minions take care of the details.  Minions mean bureaucracy.   The bureaucracy grows.  The king grows old and dies. …

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